class: center, middle # Developing your A.I. B.S. Detector (v2) ## 2019-03-18 Adam Drake https://adamdrake.com --- class: middle # Overview 1. Background 2. Definitions 3. Red Flags 4. Wheat and Chaff --- class: middle # Background - 20+ years in tech - Growth-stage advisor - Management consulting and high-performance tech/AI/ML - Applied Mathematics - White House Presidential Innovation Fellow --- class: middle # Definitions AI is a field of study, not a thing AI is computers minimizing a cost function --- class: middle # AI is a set of tools that do not exist **YET** for solving problems that have not been solved **YET**. .credit[Tesler's Theorem: AI is whatever hasn't been done yet] --- class: middle, center # AI = task automation --- class: middle, center # RED FLAGS --- class: middle, center # RED FLAGS: Anthropomorphizing --- class: middle, center # The question of whether Machines Can Think is about as relevant as the question of whether Submarines Can Swim. .credit[Dijkstra, EWD898, 1984] --- class: middle, center # RED FLAGS: Selling --- class: middle # Anomaly detection AI * 100% proprietary AI framework (fused knowledge base/inference engine architecture) * Accurate - Proven savings with real-world customers (e.g., fraud detection) * Real-world - Developed via on-the-ground work and tunable/parameterized for different industries and applications * Scalable - 2.3 BILLION predictions per node per day --- class: middle ```go func isFraud(ccIsForeign bool, amount float64, transactionsToday int) bool { if ccIsForeign && amount > 1000 && transactionsToday > 5 { return true } return false } ``` --- class: middle, center # RED FLAGS: Cost/Proprietary tech --- class: middle # Facts - State-of-the-art AI/ML frameworks are open source (i.e., FREE) - Accessing and preparing data is 95% of the work - Zero cost for tech/software --- class: middle, center # RED FLAGS: Patents --- class: middle, center # Wheat and Chaff --- class: middle # What specific problem are you solving? --- class: middle # What is the most naive solution? # Did you try that? --- class: middle # What about the next-most-naive solution? --- class: middle # Why is what you're doing considered AI? --- class: middle # Are you using a framework? #### If so, why is your solution special? #### If not, explain why you aren't wasting time. --- class: middle # Heilmeier Catechism - What are you trying to do? Articulate your objectives using absolutely no jargon. - How is it done today, and what are the limits of the current practice? - What is new in your approach and why do you think it will be successful? - Who cares? If you are successful, what difference will it make? - What are the risks? - How much will it cost? - How long will it take? - What are the mid-term and final "exams" to check for successful? .credit[George H. Heilmeier, Director, DARPA, 1975 to 1977] --- class: middle, center # Adam Drake # https://adamdrake.com # Questions?